- April 16th, 2012
- Posted by EUEditor
Less than a week before the presidential elections in France, voter intention polls continue to predict a victory for the Socialist Party candidate, Francois Hollande (picture), over the incumbent Nicolas Sarkozy.
A round-up of the main polls this month, 1-13.4.12, shows them agreed on the two leading candidates each getting 27 or 28%; but with Mr Hollande winning the second round run-off between the two, 55-45%.
It represents a very stable pattern over the full length of the election campaign.
Marine Le Pen, for the right-wing anti-immigration National Front, has picked up some percentage points, towards 17%, on the back of a campaign revived by the shootings at Toulouse last month (19.3.12), and subsequent police crack-down on suspected militants.
She has denounced â€œviolence in the suburbsâ€, since the gunman believed to have killed a man and three children, and earlier, two off-duty soldiers, was tracked down by police and killed in a wild shoot-out.
The suspect had been under watch, along with his brother, an Islamic militant under detention.
Several arrests have followed; but voters look to have signaled more immediate interest this time in the state of the economy — anxiety about debt and recession winning out over other fears.
See also, EUAustralia Online, â€œFrance: shooting crimes at Toulouseâ€, 20.3.12.
Media reportage has leaned towards considering a win for Francois Hollande as well and truly on the cards.
Autour de Hollande, le bal des prÃ©tendants aux ministÃ¨res est ouvert, said Le Monde, 14.4.12 (The dance of candidates for ministerial jobs around Hollande has begun).
A Marseille, MÃ©lenchon dit vouloir “expÃ©dier Ã terre” Sarkozy, it said, the same day. (Malenchon wants a quick burial for Sarkozy); the communist-led Left Front was speaking optimistically, at the first of a series of huge rallies â€“ more than 100 000 estimated at the gathering in Marseilles.
The first round of voting begins on 22.4.12, with the two leadingÂ candidates facing off in a second round, a fortnight later.
See polls, Sondages en france: la politique en france a travers les sondages, (French opinion polls, French politics represented across surveys).